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News

Announcements
- Media Release: Households could be the next economic domino to fall
- Media Release: Wellbeing in provincial NZ still being neglected
- A day in the life of an Economist – Merzan Wadia
- Global trends add weight to NZ economy’s slowdown
- New at Infometrics in February 2019
- Infometrics economist wins award
- A day in the life of a Technical Lead – David Friggens
- Downside risks to NZ’s growth outlook accumulate
- Community wellbeing: the next frontier?
- Infometrics can assist your strategic planning
- Community profiles will be updated with new census data
- Media Release: Provincial New Zealand dominates economic growth prospects
- What will NZ’s workforce look like in 20 years?
- International education adds $4.28bn to GDP
- Nelson-Tasman economic growth soars above national average
- Construction activity boosts economic growth to 3.9%pa in March 2018
- Homebuilding to reach an all-time record by 2018
- Profiles provide valuable information about our communities
- 2016 Regional Economic Profile Update
- Launch of the new Infometrics website
- New Infometrics Portal – customised for your individual needs
- New suite of construction products in the pipeline
- Welcome back Andrew Gawith
- Welcome Aneta Bond to the Infometrics Team
Building & property
- Nothing in the KiwiBuild reset to stop the housing crisis
- A day in the life of an Economist – Andrew Beattie
- Building smaller and building more
- A day in the life of an Economist – Nick Brunsdon
- Finding workers to build Dunedin’s hospital
- Giving up on KiwiBuild, but housing’s affordability crisis remains
- Forecast Media Release: April 2019
- How to calculate housing affordability
- Auckland’s growth dominance continues, for now
- Another step down the road to KiwiBuild failure
- Infometrics Christmas Carol -2018
- Scaremongering about a housing correction
- Larger firms increase their share of residential building activity
- Another construction firm bites the dust
- What drives aggregates freight?
- How renovation work fits alongside new residential building
- Budget 2018: Government gets realistic on KiwiBuy
- Economy Hub: Gareth Kiernan speaks to Liam Dann
- Winston Peters gets his slowdown
- KiwiBuild – otherwise known as “pulling numbers out of your arse”
- There’s more to construction than just Auckland
- New Zealand’s economic outlook turns
- Getting down to business, or getting businesses down?
- What is “other construction” anyway?
- Wanting to spend, but needing to plan
- Modelling supply-side constraints in the construction sector
- Little boost to the housing supply from KiwiBuild
- Better growth in 2018 to prelude a more challenging next decade
- Wellington commercial property could be a nice little income earner
- It’s worth keeping an eye on Dunedin’s commercial property market
- Reserve Bank unlikely to consider rolling back LVRs
- Taking on the election’s housing strategies
- Auckland’s housing crisis looks bigger than ever
- Threatened migration clampdown would lead to economic slump
- Top 10 on Personal Finance
- More people per household: what does it mean for construction trends?
- Canterbury: it’s busy but slowing
- A day in the life of an economist – Kelvin Davidson
- When’s a lolly scramble not a lolly scramble? When Mr Joyce says so
- Lower house prices to slow economic growth in 2017
- Golden run set to continue for construction employment
- Regional property markets running out of steam
- Regional Economic Profile reveals 10% job growth in Queenstown
- House prices to fall 12% by 2020
- A strong economy can also be environmentally sustainable
- Planning for 2017?
- Repairing Kaikoura: the size, the speed, and the cost of delays
- Auckland headlines Infometrics’ Regional Hotspots report
- Is Auckland commercial property starting to look expensive?
- Avoiding choking on Auckland’s building boom
- Regional growth isn’t only about the big cities
- Could commercial property experience an Auckland “ripple effect”?
- Bright construction outlook for Queenstown-Lakes
- The view on the ground from Christchurch
- Third time lucky? LVRs set to slash house sales by at least 15%
- Ongoing opportunities in the construction sector
- A day in the life of an economist – Gareth Kiernan
- Searching out opportunities in the Budget for Infometrics clients
- Infometrics is proud to support Got a Trade? Got it Made!
- Don’t just build hotels, embrace private accommodation
- The changing pattern of future infrastructure spending
- Executive Summary – March 2016 Forecasts
- From the beach 2016
- Where are house prices going to go? – The burning questions Q and A
- Densification of housing is not always occurring where you would expect
- Housing – should we settle for less?
- Will Aucklanders embrace high density living?
- What is going on with the labour market recovery?
- Going big in the house-building market
- Cutting back on highly leveraged mortgages
- Housing and the accidental xenophobe
- Trying to get to the bottom of housing affordability
- Will new dwellings keep getting bigger?
- Building Forecasts November 2011 – Building Articles
- Untangling the complex housing nexus
- Property investors can’t get past their own vested interest
- The house price dilemma
- Housing first, the economy next?
- Rescuing the residential building industry
- Where house sales go, prices don’t necessarily follow
- A turning point for property yields?
- Blame it on the boomers
- Turn up the volume
Business issues
- Around the country, what growth issues are on people’s minds?
- Labouring hard to try and achieve real change
- From the beach 2018
- Have we lost faith in the economy?
- A stress-free LTP: spotlight on Southland
- Are the oil companies taking us for a ride?
- Find your 2016/17 Chinese (regional economic) horoscope here!
- Review of GST misses the point
- Can a simple name change result in increased economic growth?
- Has creative destruction become more destructive?
- Optimal incompetence
- Cost of an Emissions Target
- Outsourced?
- Technology and subsides: how much longer can equipment costs keep falling?
- Where has the floor on oil prices gone?
- Less is more?
- The ICT revolution and New Zealand
- Productivity and the internet of things
- Hunting for Easter trading law justifications
- Hoping for more than just sales volume growth in 2014
- Lies, damn lies, and statistics
- Solar power and energy scarcity
- Manufacturing’s future in 3D
- The bluff from Bluff
- Should we be imposing some more taxes on banks?
- Foreign investment: The price of everything, the value of nothing
- Playing hot potato with Mighty River risk
- Most will overcome the shock of Mainzeal’s collapse
- Why NZ should avoid supporting "traditional" manufacturing
- Lessons from past ideas about the future
- Finance company failures exposed our own financial illiteracy
- Fairness must dictate our emissions policy
- A silver lining to jobs lost to Asia
- Bio-fuels arenand#39;t the silver bullet
- Where is the growth coming from?
Chart of the month
- Chart of the month: Auckland is big
- Chart of the month: Māori education critical to unlocking opportunities
- Chart of the month: Living in the future
- Chart of the month: one sunny day…
Client testimonials
- Skills Active – using data to engage with industry
- South Island council gains regional insights
- Wellington RC makes use of Infometrics’ comprehensive economic data
- South Waikato uses Infometrics to make better decisions
- Wanganui can benchmark themselves against other regions
- Making economic analysis easier for Hamilton
- Kaipara values Infometrics’ input
- Using Infometrics data has been extremely useful for Enterprise North Canterbury
Demographics
- Improving Māori wellbeing
- Disabled people aren’t worth less than the old
- Love is in the air, and the wallet
- Chart of the month: who let the dogs out?
- Chart of the month: New Small Area Boundaries
- Chart of the month: Ethnic age profile in Northland
- Chart of the month: Job openings 2018-2022
- Predicting population growth in the regions
- Slower population growth than we thought
- There’s no place like home
- Paying for that inheritance
- The grey area of our ageing population
- Keeping tabs on Christchurch’s population – update August 16
- Keeping tabs on Christchurch’s population – update May 16
- Keeping tabs on Christchurch’s population – update April 21
- Keeping tabs on Christchurch’s population – update April 1
Education
- Tertiary education in decline?
- Tertiary education: changes needed now
- Changing workplaces require innovative approaches to education
- Fees-Free: Grades are out
- Education 101: It’s time for a plan
- Fees-free tertiary education: right problem, wrong answer?
- A day in the life of an economist – Brad Olsen
- Will government rule changes have a big effect on visa approvals?
- Smaller regions are reaping benefits of international education
- Skills more important than ever in the manufacturing sector
- A day in the life of an economist – Shaun Twaddle
- A brighter outlook for young people in the services industry
- Striking a fair balance with student loans
- Measuring outcomes in the Vocational Education and Training sector
- Making something of Labour’s free student fees proposal
Environment
- Kiwis embrace a lower-plastic life
- Electrifying Change
- Daylight savings, global warming, and co-ordination
- Counting the cost of reducing emissions
- Have you noticed the emissions trading scheme?
- Biofuel basics
- What price conservation?
- The Emissions Trading Scheme – Higher Prices are Better than Higher Taxes
- Emissions policy clouded by the hot air of self-interest
- Why have an Emissions Trading Scheme?
- Another view of climate change
- How Green is Your Water Use
- Congested Thinking about Congestion Charging
- No “right” response to global warming
- An array of carbon prices
- What will the emissions trading scheme cost?
External
- Log exports boost freight traffic
- What have Russia and El Niño got in common?
- Dispelling myths about air freight exports
- Glut of mid-1990s used imports nearing scrap time
- Federal Reserve reducing stimulus as US economy picks up
- Taking stock of Europe’s recovery
- Developing risks from the developing world
- What does New Zealand’s international liability position look like?
- Is dairy farm debt a significant financial stability risk?
- Drivers of upturn in forestry industry lie beyond China
- New Zealand to outperform Aussie?
- Asian rebalancing: Good, or a necessary evil?
- Economic diversification – at what cost?
- The return of the American house
- High currency is good news for you
- Forestry fortunes looking up
- No economic salvation in goods exports
- We’re still an agricultural economy at heart
- Where will our export growth come from?
Financial markets
- Sounding the alarm!
- NZ economy enters 2017 in style
- Nothing standing in the way of another cut to the OCR
- The NZX50 is still miles below its peak
Forecasting
- A day in the life of an Economist – Paul Barkle
- From the beach 2019
- New Zealand to invest $129b in infrastructure over next decade
- Putting automation in perspective
- Net migration is even higher than you thought
- On the level: new and used heavy two-axle trucks
- 85,000 new jobs for Auckland
- UNISA case study – Understanding future labour force demands in the upper North Island
- The demand crisis facing tourism
General economics
- The challenge of predicting regional population growth
- Media release: Population growth and consumer spending drive regional economies for now
- Making it rain cash: How to fix the downturn
- Recapping a summer of tourism
- Wellbeing: understanding local progress
- Employing the unemployable
- A day in the life of a Data Analyst – Carl Hodder
- Fall, rise and decline: the story of New Zealand’s self-employment rate
- Chart of the month: Migration estimates like playing darts blindfolded
- Assessing China’s importance to regional New Zealand
- Revolution, evolution, fad, or just a little extra variety?
- Chart of the month: China a country to watch
- Plastic bag ban provides opportunities and challenges to packaging sector
- RBNZ’s risky assumption clouds OCR outlook
- Chart of the month: local council infrastructure investment
- Trump’s tariffs threaten to start a trade war
- Chart of The Month: Doing the numbers on infrastructure
- Rising fuel prices threaten to squeeze economic growth
- Giving eradication our best shot means supporting farmers all the way
- Government set to dampen Budget expectations
- Finding a cheap place to fill up just got harder
- Where can we find more skilled workers?
- How big an EV fleet can New Zealand’s grid handle?
- Ten ways to kickstart your financial health
- All I Want for Christmas (is a coalition negotiation)
- Accessing the Regional Development Fund is not just about GDP
- The Panama Canal: mosquitoes, a soft voice and a big stick
- The Wider Economic Benefits of Greater Connectivity
- The economy’s strong Bill of health key to a fourth term government?
- Where could a trade take you?
- The migration levels we should be targeting
- New Zealand research on the effects of migration
- A quick note on seasonally adjusted car sales
- Where will your workforce be living in 2020?
- A day in the life of an economist – Adolf Stroombergen
- Positive signs slowly emerging in Southland economy
- Which region will Jetstar fly to next?
- A day in the life of an economist – Nigel Pinkerton
- A day in the life of an economist – Andrew Whiteford
- What’s with everyone moving to the regions?
- Infometrics Christmas carol – 2016
- A day in the life of an economist – Benje Patterson
- Migration tweaks to affect migrant composition rather than the number
- A day in the life of an economist – David Kennedy
- Is the Reserve Bank Governor impotent?
- What makes an economics graduate tick?
- A day in the life of an Economist – Mieke Welvaert
- Understanding small parts of local economies
- Infometrics Christmas Carol – 2015
- All hail the mighty Reserve Bank
- Infometrics Christmas Carols – Archive 2002 – 2014
- A slow unwinding death for inheritance?
- Why do we tax?
- Inflammatory statements
- The efficiency safety trade-off
- Who wants to pay to signal their own narcissism?
- Does Fraud Pay?
- Should we take happiness seriously
- Burn baby burn
- The economics of love
- Dog owners right to question registration fees
- When I like to be discriminated against
- Who should pay for the failure of those deemed too big to fail
- Frisking financiers
- What is a living wage?
- An economist’s guide to drinking responsibly
- Are genuine progress indicators an expensive step sideways?
- Vested interest disguised as public interest
- Choice and Economic Growth
- The tax and welfare “mess”
- Measuring the contribution of good management
- Taking the P out of GDP
- Freer markets, freer people?
- Copy cats
- Less aspiration, more perspiration
- The pursuit of happiness starts with the economy
- Measures of allocative efficiency
- User pays would help alleviate water shortages
- Four meaningless criteria for tax cuts
- Fat tax?
- A better personal income tax and benefit system
- Don’t let your conscience be your guide
Government
- Breaking down the Wellbeing Budget
- What is the Low Emissions Vehicle Contestable Fund?
- Striking while the iron’s hot
- Will a cut in migration choke the provinces?
- Who will get Shane Jones’ pot of gold?
- Long-term implications of high net migration
- Gorge slip continues to squeeze traffic flows
- Welcome focus of the government on investing in children
- Dear Bill, please stop the student loan parasites
- Rating the education policies
- Can we improve the election process to get better policy?
- Please don’t force me to save
- Giving credit control to the government
- Is the price right?
- Progressivity, how does that work?
- The destiny of GST
- Scheming the student loan scheme
- Neoliberalism grows up
- Taxing when we consume
- Factoring in factor taxes
- Getting past John Key’s ego and changing the superannuation age
- The non-ideal ideal tax
- At home with tax breaks
- Tax distortions and burden
- Budget delivers few surprises
- Mercantilism returns from the grave
- A dummy’s guide to the role of government
- Welfare’s role in an egalitarian society
- Sue Bradford might actually be right, but for the wrong reasons
- Missing the bigger problem with government spending
- How you tax changes people’s behaviour
- Getting past the emotional rhetoric around asset sales
- Charter schools are a welcome addition
- Strategically repaying your student loan
- Bad policy is widespread
- Calling time on big spending in health, education, and super
- Fiscal transparency needs more bite
- Is Working for Families’ time finally up?
- In a land not far away…
- Government industry assistance is rarely good for the economy
- Why stop at 15%?
- Taxpayers taking risky bet on Kiwibank
- Tax tinkering behind a façade of boldness
- Mining: Do you mind?
- Exorcising the asset sale bogy
- Clash of the codes
- Regulatory myopia
- A time to do nothing
- When not to stimulate
- Big spending health sector over governed
- Off track with rail
- Generous to a fault
- If it appears too good to be true …
- Cat’o’nine lives or cat’o’nine tails?
Households
- Being impoverished and on a high income is just a myth
- Retailers relying on new customers in 2016
- Should we ban fireworks?
- Moving around New Zealand: evidence from the 2013 census
- What has happened with household debt?
- What have consumers been spending on?
- Too hard to define child poverty, so let’s just pay everyone
- Efficient giving this Christmas
- Spending – sustainable or not?
- Making money out of spending money
- How much more durable good spending is still to come?
- Understanding inequality
- Judging savers a mugs game
- Understanding the unemployment problem
- Bringing true choice into Kiwisaver
- Enforcing taxation on overseas retail purchases
- Is New Zealand’s middle class struggling?
- Why Hollywood is losing its grip on my generation
- How much inequality can we tolerate?
Immigration
- Chart of the Month: Muslim migration is relatively small
- Top ten things to know about migration
- Most people coming from Australia… are Kiwi
Industry
- Service IQ Regional Roadmaps
- Crop farming – are better growth conditions ahead?
- Infometrics supports Got a Trade? Got it Made! campaign
- Which is New Zealand’s most creative city?
- Industry effects of minimum wage increases
- Draws are not good enough if we want to improve our world ranking
- Working smarter – weand#39;ve got no choice
Inequality
- How prosperous are South Wairarapa’s main towns?
- Why the Living Wage isn’t all it’s cracked up to be
- Fighting inequality with minimum wage?
- Darker times give food for thought on poverty
- Equal opportunity should be the goal
- Recession is inequality’s best friend
- Dealing with inequality
- Sharing the fruits of growth
Infrastructure
- Getting regional facilities and services right
- The view from the Roads of National Significance
- If you build it they will come
- Railroaded
International
- Chart of the month: New Zealand’s most creative city in 2017
- Government supported electric car sales could exceed 470,000 by 2030?
- Taking on the world with free trade
- Getting to grips with the changing composition of dairy demand
- Agricultural competition from Australia?
- Trading doctors for cash
- The persistence of the crisis
- Understanding the crisis
- What are global imbalances?
- Tackling tough issues in India
- What’s wrong with a two-speed?
- Economic Forecasts November 2011 – A history of the European debt crisis
- Countries that export skilled staff do not always lose out
- Debt crises and New Zealand
- Debt concerns intensify in Europe, US
- Arab democracy, bring it on
- When it is good to be the tortoise
- Can we really count on China?
- Is another downturn on the cards?
- Alphabet soup
- Lessons from Japanese crisis management
Labour market
- A day in the life of an economist – Rob Heyes
- Megatrends report: Gareth Kiernan speaks to Liam Dann
- Low wage growth amidst tight labour market
- Are drivers at risk of losing their jobs?
- New Zealand’s labour market reaches a turning point
- Is your region getting its share of the export education pie?
- Why is international education important to our regions?
- International education is a key part of burgeoning service exports
- Commuters and remote workers can contribute to economic revival of towns
- Claiming back workers from the “”lucky”” country
- Are our young people work ready?
- The necessity of importing skilled labour
- Explaining the gender pay gap
- Why do we study?
- Zoning in on teaching
- What will become of Tiwai’s workers?
- Should we fear the robot uprising?
- There’s still time for job seekers to become disillusioned
- A growing gulf between employers and job seekers
- Opening up opportunities through education
- Where are the hot prospects in tomorrow’s labour market?
- The career effects of graduating in a recession
- Should public sector workers have the right to strike?
- Redundancy: End of the Road or a Fresh Start
- Our unemployment release valve blows
- We’ve had tougher times before
Latest economic forecasts
Māori
Media
- Infometrics shows continued support for skill development research
- First-hand economic insights can give you a competitive edge
- Celebrating local government success at the LGNZ awards
- How to calculate the economic impact of events without paying a consultant
- Joseph Parker worth $3,550 per second to the Invercargill City economy
- Attracting Jetstar to your city
- Monitor your local economy with our new web-based system
- Infometrics Community Profiles now available
Migration
- Why are our car forecasts so much higher than last time?
- Are we under-measuring our migrant numbers?
- Migration shows New Zealand’s popularity
- How much further does the migration surge have to run?
Monetary policy
- Why high-LVR lending refuses to grow
- VSR – variable savings rate or very silly regulation?
- Time for a pre-emptive strike on inflation
- Risks of introducing new policy instruments
- The inflation tax
- Not a time to muddy the water
- Reserve Bank’s two roles are getting a little confused
- Why interest rates are on the rise
- Singapore monetary policy no model for New Zealand
- What is it about the Kiwi dollar?
- Reserve Bank has too much room to wriggle
- Inflation targeting: What’s the point?
- Soaring dollar reflects strong economy
- Whatand#39;s the fairest value of them all?
- More credibilty at homeowners’ expense
- A soft spot for a tough policy change
- Double, double, oil and trouble
New Zealand economy
- Economic impacts of events
- A day in the life of an economic software developer – Daniel Sun
- 390,000 Airbnb guest nights in Auckland, 180,000 in Queenstown
- Counting the damage
- Regions are more than one trick ponies
- Surging economic growth in Tauranga looks set to continue
- From the beach 2015
- Aging New Zealand
- Consumption, investment, and savings
- From the beach 2014
- The value of GDP
- The hidden costs of our GDP and happiness machine obsessions
- It is good to be small
- Total tourist spend falls despite increased visitor arrivals
- Working with less
- From the beach 2013
- Investigating New Zealand’s potential
- Don’t mess with Mr In-between
- From the beach 2012
- We don’t know how lucky we are
- Economics Forecasts July 2011 – Guessing how the quake rebuild will pan out
- Keeping tabs on Christchurch’s population
- Sluggish credit growth not just a cyclical phenomenon
- From the beach 2011
- The return of the “W”?
- Rebalancing: fact or fiction?
- The small and isolated isles
- From the beach 2010
- The great correction
- New Zealand Inc’s borrowing addiction
- From The Beach 2009
- The collapse of the Baltic Dry Index: What does it mean?
- History in the making
- How can such a small tumble hurt so much?
- Is New Zealand bankrupt?
- What price peak oil?
- From the beach 2008
- Why the hype about saving?
- Business blues
- The land of the setting sun
Population
Primary sector
- Assessing the effect of lower milk prices on regional dairy payouts
- Adding value in the timber industry is not easy
- Why is Fonterra losing grip of market share in the dairy industry?
- The plight of the cow
- Milking the golden cow
- Should farm owners look and sound like New Zealanders?
Regional
- Filling gaps in local area data for transport decision-making
- Considering small communities: perspectives from North Canterbury
- Public awareness of economic development
- Councils apply for Ultra-fast Broadband
- Lifestyle the main draw card for small regions
- Handbrake released for regional tourism operators
- Changing sources of local government revenue
- How unequal are our regions?
- Regional flight price gouging – guilty until proven innocent?
- New Zealand’s loser towns
- Dispelling some myths about regional economic performance
- Public transport use in key urban centres
- Has Jetstar peaked already?
- What’s really going on with tourism in regional New Zealand?
- Decomposing domestic trends in road, rail, and sea transportation
- Understanding regional connectivity in the airline market
- Local government for better or worse
- Hollowing out of New Zealand not inevitable
- Strong provinces, mediocre cities
- Christchurch’s CBD challenge
- Wellington needs to resharpen its edge
- Creative heaven or crappy little trading post?
- Auckland lifestyle on sale
- Looking South
Regional Hotspot
- Auckland: Hobsonville
- Bay of Plenty: Papamoa
- Auckland: Beachlands-Drury
- Canterbury: Southwest Christchurch
- Wellington: Central Wellington
- Waikato: North Hamilton
- Auckland: Central Auckland
- Otago: Central Otago
- Canterbury: Central Christchurch
- Auckland: Orewa-Albany
- Kelvin Grove
- Bell Block
- Marsden Point and Ruakaka
Retail
- Do you want to buy an electric car?
- Retail sales (ex-gst)
Seminars
Skills
- Teaching higher standards
Tourism
- How long will the rental car boom last?
- Changing patterns of tourism
- How much of a rip-off is public transport?
- Do sporting mega-events chase away tourists?
- Across the ditch
- Tourism: Facing the challenges of the future
Transport
- What’s in store for EV sales between now and 2040?
- The enemy of my enemy is my friend
- Transforming Transport
- Revisiting our view of underlying car demand
- Is petrol price pain all it’s cracked up to be?
- The Reserve Bank of Air New Zealand
- Small car share plateauing
- Replacing that old bomb
- Capital costs the public transport killer
- Re-tapping the car markets potential
- Road Trip down Memory Lane
- Commodity prices: what does the Baltic Dry Index tell us?
- Counting the cost of your car
- A year of two halves
- Some good news
- Diesel fashion
Uncategorised
- What is an exchange rate?
- A better return for spending on the less well-off
- We are failing our children, and ourselves
- System shock
- Giving the Pacific a bigger slice
- It’s not always dangerous swimming with sharks
- The taxing issue of land
- The illusion of control
- A sense of entitlement
- Time for rethinking the census
- An economist’s Christmas present
- Our love affair with imports
- How fit are feed in tariffs?
- Doing a better job of guaranteeing deposits
- The daily grind
- Getting smarter about debt
- Saving compulsion is crass policy
- Counting the cost of misdirected investment
- When Have We Done Enough?
- What’s in a price
- A clear role for community-based ethics
- Compulsory Super no panacea
- Affordable housing is a simple equation
- Don’t forget the benefits
- Losing your shirt: The importance of understanding risk
- World Cup on African soil
- Drive for the season, year-round
- Cutting out the middle man
- C’mon John, think of the children
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