New Zealand’s economy continued to strengthen and grow in the second quarter of 2021, with regional economies driving economic activity. The June 2021 quarter Infometrics Quarterly Economic Monitor shows a further improvement in economic conditions, driven by rising employment, upbeat households, and rocketing building activity. The stronger economic results for the regions position the New Zealand economy well to tackle the latest setback as the country moves to Alert Level 4.
The New Zealand economy is growing at an unsustainable rate, fuelled by the massive fiscal and monetary stimulus applied over the last 16 months in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Infometrics’ latest forecasts predict that economic growth will climb to over 5%pa this year, with growth in household spending reaching 10%pa. These strong demand conditions are being accompanied by a wide range of cost pressures that are creating serious inflationary risks, with the burst of demand unlikely to hold up.
The summer of 2020/21 provided a boost to a number of regional economies even as traditional tourism hotspots remained hard hit by the loss of international tourism. The latest Infometrics Quarterly Economic Monitor points to a faltering in the overall economic recovery, with a further divergence across New Zealand. Some parts of the country have continued to recover further but other areas show patches of softer economic activity.
The roll-out of vaccines both in New Zealand and around the world is providing light at the end of the COVID-19 tunnel, but the coming year will still be a challenging one for the New Zealand economy, according to Infometrics’ latest forecasts.
New analysis from economic consultancy Infometrics reveals billions of dollars of untapped potential for Kiwi exporters for new markets and products across the globe.
The New Zealand economy continues to chart a more optimistic and upbeat path, as restrictions on economic and social activity remains lower than almost anywhere globally. The latest Infometrics Quarterly Economic Monitor shows regional economic activity in the December quarter continue to improve, although the hit to different areas is become starker, with tourism-related industries still feeling a much harder hit than other sectors.
The New Zealand economy has entered 2021 on a strong footing, having dodged a missile last year from COVID-19, according to Infometrics’ latest forecasts. The massive fiscal and monetary stimulus put in place last year, combined with our good public health outcomes, has limited the number of job losses, boosted the housing market and construction activity, and underpinned a strong rebound in economic activity after lockdown.
New Zealand’s economy rebounded strongly in the September quarter, with regional economies showing renewed strength as they get back on their feet. The latest Infometrics Quarterly Economic Monitor points to a surge in activity as the economy’s resilience saw businesses and consumers swing back into action after a substantial hit in the June quarter.
Despite rebounding well from the initial lockdown and effects of the COVID-19 pandemic so far, the New Zealand economy remains vulnerable, according to the latest projections from Infometrics. The company is forecasting a double-dip recession to hit during 2021, as delayed job losses punch a hole in consumer spending and drag economic activity lower.
The latest Infometrics Quarterly Economic Monitor shows a substantial hit to regional economies from the COVID-19 pandemic and New Zealand’s restrictions during the Level 4 lockdown alongside the move down the Alert Levels. The Monitor provides the most comprehensive analysis of regional economic changes so far during the pandemic.