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2022-11
Newsletter - November 2022

It’s getting close to the summer holiday period, but there’s no let up yet in economic action. If anything, it’s busier than ever!

This month we headline our November 2022 newsletter with the biggest economic move: the Reserve Bank’s massive 75 basis point increase to the official cash rate (OCR). Principal Economist Brad Olsen examines what the decision means, where the OCR might go in 2023, and what rising interest rates mean for the economy.

Senior Economist Rob Heyes discusses the new Open Banking announcement, what it’s designed to do, and how it might work to deliver a better deal to consumers.

Earlier in November we released our September 2022 Quarterly Economic Monitor, with our examination of regional economies showing elevated economic results as tourism rebounds and spending remains solid. Brad’s media release recaps the key points, including how capacity constraints are limit acting to restrain even further growth.

It might be barking mad for an economist, but Brad has once again analysed the latest figures on dog registrations around New Zealand. Data shows that the dog population has grown more than the human population in recent years, and Brad crowns Floof Capital of New Zealand for 2022!

Articles
RBNZ Outside 2022
RBNZ’s approach should sink inflation, but will it also sink the economy?
The answer: Yes, if that’s the price we have to pay to bring down inflationary pressures and re-establish stable price expectations. The November 2022 Monetary Policy Statement was one for the history books: the first 75 basis point (bp) increase to the official cash rate (OCR) in New Zealand’s monetary policy history.
Read more
pexels-tima-miroshnichenko-7567443
Will open banking promote competition?
The Government has announced measures to increase competition among banks. ‘Open banking’ is designed to make it easier for Kiwis to shop around for financial products such as credit cards or mortgages. But will open banking deliver a better deal for consumers?
Read more
Queenstown-Airport-and-Plane-2022
Media Release: Elevated regional economic results as tourism rebounds and spending remains solid
Economic activity remained elevated across New Zealand in the September 2022 quarter, driven by stronger tourism activity and still-solid household spending. Infometrics’ September 2022 Quarterly Economic Monitor shows a 2.6% rise in annual provisional economic activity for the 12 months to September 2022, driven by a 5.4%pa rise in quarterly economic activity due to the comparison with the Delta lockdown-affected September 2021 quarter.
Read more
pexels-lumn-406014
Chart of the Month: Every dog has its day
New Zealand’s dog population has been increasing strongly in recent years, with a 3.1%pa lift in 2021 and a further 2.4%pa lift in 2022 – growth results that far outstrip the 0.4% and 0.2%pa human population growth rates. As a result, the number of dogs in New Zealand, on a population-adjusted basis, has risen to its highest since 2013. This growth has seen an increase of nearly 70,000 dogs.
Read more
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