Gareth Kiernan
Gareth Kiernan
Chief Forecaster, Director
ForecastingMediaPresentations

Gareth heads up the forecasting team at Infometrics, managing the preparation of the company’s regular forecast publications. Within the forecast process, he is responsible for the macroeconomic overview and building and property forecasts. Gareth has completed a range of consulting projects, many focused on the housing market and construction industry, and he regularly provides presentations that provide relevant economic information in an accessible, clear, and entertaining manner. He is also frequently sought out by the media for comment on topical economic issues.

Gareth’s management experience at Infometrics has given him a good understanding of how economic issues affect business decision making and development. Gareth joined Infometrics in early 1999, having graduated from the University of Canterbury the previous year with a MCom (Hons) in economics and a BSc in economics and statistics. He became managing director of Infometrics in 2006, and he moved into the operations director role in 2014.

Significant consulting reports prepared by Gareth in recent years include: analysing demand conditions for a residential development looking to be progressed in the upper North Island; a report on the provision of affordable housing in Queenstown; forecasting construction labour requirements in Otago given the rebuild of Dunedin Hospital; and several pieces of expert witness evidence for construction cost escalation relating to remedial building work. He prepared Infometrics’ publicly available Regional Hotspots 2016 report, which highlighted some of the key growth regions for New Zealand over the next decade, discussing the opportunities arising in these growth areas as well as potential challenges posed by growth. He is also the author of Infometrics’ Megatrends Report (2018), as well as Food for Thought, which examines potential demand for exports from regions at the top of the South Island (available for download on our Reports page).

Gareth is a born-and-bred Wellingtonian and has four children. Gareth is a long-suffering supporter of the New Zealand cricket team, and he enjoys going tramping and getting off the beaten track every now and then.

Articles by Gareth Kiernan

Webinars by Gareth Kiernan

Into recession … sort of
Into recession … sort of
Wednesday 28 June 2023
Budget 2023 and OCR
Budget 2023 and OCR
Thursday 25 May 2023
Economic Forecast Outlook
Economic Forecast Outlook
Thursday 27 April 2023
2023 Economic Preview
2023 Economic Preview
Tuesday 24 January 2023
Global inflationary pressures
Global inflationary pressures
Tuesday 27 September 2022
A different approach to housing affordability
A different approach to housing affordability
Monday 27 June 2022
Implications of rising inflation, interest rates
Implications of rising inflation, interest rates
Tuesday 22 March 2022
Omicron and the economic outlook for 2022
Omicron and the economic outlook for 2022
Tuesday 25 January 2022
How Delta changes the game
How Delta changes the game
Thursday 30 September 2021
Inflation expectations increase
Inflation expectations increase
Tuesday 27 July 2021
Economic talks by Gareth Kiernan

Econ Talks - RBNZ makes sensible 50bp increase to the OCR
Econ Talks - RBNZ makes sensible 50bp increase to the OCR
Wednesday 22 February 2023
Econ Talks - Labour market in limbo as unemployment and wages rise
Econ Talks - Labour market in limbo as unemployment and wages rise
Friday 3 February 2023
Econ Talks - Inflation plateaus at 7.2% in December 2022
Econ Talks - Inflation plateaus at 7.2% in December 2022
Friday 3 February 2023
Econ Talks - Infometrics forecasts point to a prolonged economic hit
Econ Talks - Infometrics forecasts point to a prolonged economic hit
Friday 3 February 2023
Econ Talks - Where to next for the construction sector?
Econ Talks - Where to next for the construction sector?
Friday 18 November 2022
Econ Talks - Inflation heat alarming and requires more interest rate rises
Econ Talks - Inflation heat alarming and requires more interest rate rises
Friday 21 October 2022
Econ Talks - Exchange rate falls as inflation & interest rate expectations rise
Econ Talks - Exchange rate falls as inflation & interest rate expectations rise
Wednesday 28 September 2022
Econ Talks - Have we done enough yet to halt inflation
Econ Talks - Have we done enough yet to halt inflation
Tuesday 27 September 2022
Econ Talks - GDP rises 1.7% as tourism comes back to life
Econ Talks - GDP rises 1.7% as tourism comes back to life
Wednesday 21 September 2022
Econ Talks - Where to next for monetary policy in NZ?
Econ Talks - Where to next for monetary policy in NZ?
Friday 5 August 2022
Gareth Kiernan in the news