Gareth Kiernan
Gareth Kiernan
Chief Forecaster, Director
ForecastingMediaPresentations

Gareth heads up the forecasting team at Infometrics, managing the preparation of the company’s regular forecast publications. Within the forecast process, he is responsible for the macroeconomic overview and building and property forecasts. Gareth has completed a range of consulting projects, many focused on the housing market and construction industry, and he regularly provides presentations that provide relevant economic information in an accessible, clear, and entertaining manner. He is also frequently sought out by the media for comment on topical economic issues.

Gareth’s management experience at Infometrics has given him a good understanding of how economic issues affect business decision making and development. Gareth joined Infometrics in early 1999, having graduated from the University of Canterbury the previous year with a MCom (Hons) in economics and a BSc in economics and statistics. He became managing director of Infometrics in 2006, and he moved into the operations director role in 2014.

Significant consulting reports prepared by Gareth in recent years include: analysing demand conditions for a residential development looking to be progressed in the upper North Island; a report on the provision of affordable housing in Queenstown; forecasting construction labour requirements in Otago given the rebuild of Dunedin Hospital; and several pieces of expert witness evidence for construction cost escalation relating to remedial building work. He prepared Infometrics’ publicly available Regional Hotspots 2016 report, which highlighted some of the key growth regions for New Zealand over the next decade, discussing the opportunities arising in these growth areas as well as potential challenges posed by growth. He is also the author of Infometrics’ Megatrends Report (2018), as well as Food for Thought, which examines potential demand for exports from regions at the top of the South Island (available for download on our Reports page).

Gareth is a born-and-bred Wellingtonian and has four children. Gareth is a long-suffering supporter of the New Zealand cricket team, and he enjoys going tramping and getting off the beaten track every now and then.

Articles by Gareth Kiernan

Webinars by Gareth Kiernan

Where next for the housing market
Where next for the housing market
Tuesday 21 May 2024
Where next for cost pressures?
Where next for cost pressures?
Tuesday 19 March 2024
2024 Economic Preview
2024 Economic Preview
Thursday 25 January 2024
Pre-Election Outlook
Pre-Election Outlook
Monday 25 September 2023
Into recession … sort of
Into recession … sort of
Wednesday 28 June 2023
Budget 2023 and OCR
Budget 2023 and OCR
Thursday 25 May 2023
Economic Forecast Outlook
Economic Forecast Outlook
Thursday 27 April 2023
2023 Economic Preview
2023 Economic Preview
Tuesday 24 January 2023
Global inflationary pressures
Global inflationary pressures
Tuesday 27 September 2022
A different approach to housing affordability
A different approach to housing affordability
Monday 27 June 2022
Economic talks by Gareth Kiernan

Q2 Inflation drops to just 3 3%pa
Q2 Inflation drops to just 3 3%pa
Friday 19 July 2024
RBNZ OCR flip flop opens door to a rates cut sooner
RBNZ OCR flip flop opens door to a rates cut sooner
Thursday 11 July 2024
QSBO points towards fewer jobs, less inflation pressure
QSBO points towards fewer jobs, less inflation pressure
Friday 5 July 2024
GDP up 0.2% at start of 2024
GDP up 0.2% at start of 2024
Monday 24 June 2024
Trade improves, with green shoots for exports?
Trade improves, with green shoots for exports?
Friday 14 June 2024
Budget 2024 delivers tax cuts and smaller allowances
Budget 2024 delivers tax cuts and smaller allowances
Friday 31 May 2024
RBNZ holds OCR, but considers a raise
RBNZ holds OCR, but considers a raise
Friday 24 May 2024
Migration slowing as more Kiwis leave
Migration slowing as more Kiwis leave
Friday 17 May 2024
Labour market weakens
Labour market weakens
Friday 3 May 2024
Lots of sellers in the housing market
Lots of sellers in the housing market
Wednesday 24 April 2024
Gareth Kiernan in the news