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Labour market Announcements (41)Building Forecasts (1)Chart of the month (28)Client testimonials (8)Construction (188)COVID-19 (102)
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Labour market

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Households whose incomes are not keeping up with price rises are experiencing a fall in their standard of living. Lower-income households feel the pinch more because necessities such as rent, mortgage payments, food, and fuel take up a large, and increasing, share of their income. Here we look at those lower-income households: who they are, what pressures they are under, what is being done to help them, and what more could be done. Read


In 1894, New Zealand introduced the world’s first minimum wage. Today, the minimum wage is still well and alive, growing faster than median wages since 2000. Over the same 20+ year period, there has been a substantial compression of the lower half of the wage distribution, leaving those at the bottom closer than ever to those at the top. But how much of this increase in lower wages can we attribute to the rise in minimum wage over time? Read


The disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and the government’s response of closing the borders have led to an incredibly tight labour market over the last year. The record-low unemployment rate of 3.2% has been backed up by a raft of other indicators showing how difficult it is for businesses to attract and retain employees. With living costs surging as well, workers have both the bargaining power and the motivation to demand significant pay increases during 2022. Read


Labour market pressures have become acute over the past year in New Zealand, as the economy rebounded from the onset of COVID-19, and businesses adapted to operating without the previously plentiful supply of migrant workers. However, this pressure is not a fleeting challenge. New Zealand’s populati... Read

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New Zealand’s population growth in the December quarter was 0.5%pa, having slipped as low as 0.4%pa in September last year, the slowest rate of growth since about 1989. The large migration inflow of previous years has been replaced with the first net migration outflow since the aftermath of the 2011... Read

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The New Zealand labour market has recovered better than anyone expected from the economic contractions brought about by COVID-related lockdowns. In fact, with a record low unemployment rate of just 3.2%, the talk now is of an overheated economy with very little spare capacity in the workforce Read

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Recent Infometrics data provides the first comprehensive analysis of the impact of COVID-19 on different industries and local areas across New Zealand. Our regional and sector data, which sits behind our Regional Economic Profiles and Sector Profiles, was updated in early February 2022 with estimates for the year ending March 2021. Our analysis shows a considerable shock to parts of the New Zealand economy, and the weakest period of employment activity since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Read

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The emergence of Omicron promises that 2022 will be another year of disruption for the New Zealand economy. The latest forecasts published by Infometrics show the Red “traffic light” setting knocking 1-2 percentage points off GDP during the first half of this year. Alongside government restrictions on the hospitality and events sector, spiking case numbers are likely to increase households’ Hesitancy Of Going Out (HOGO) and result in softer economic outcomes, as suggested by recent falls in consumer confidence. Read


With Omicron set to spread across New Zealand over the coming weeks, many businesses are faced with making tough decisions about how to best protect their workforce and ongoing operations. We estimate that absenteeism could rise to 12% of the workforce, if key government forecasts bear out, which would hamper activity. Read

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The bounce back from Lockdown 2.0 has begun, but the overall recovery has been restrained by Auckland remaining at higher alert levels. Auckland’s move to Level 3 is welcome news, with a larger amount of economic activity to take place. But risks remain for the pace of New Zealand’s rebound, with supply chain issues and the need to balance health and economic priorities creating a difficult set of choices. Read