Infometrics
Infometrics
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Migration

mechanic

Labour market pressures have become acute over the past year in New Zealand, as the economy rebounded from the onset of COVID-19, and businesses adapted to operating without the previously plentiful supply of migrant workers. However, this pressure is not a fleeting challenge. New Zealand’s populati... Read


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New Zealand’s population growth in the December quarter was 0.5%pa, having slipped as low as 0.4%pa in September last year, the slowest rate of growth since about 1989. The large migration inflow of previous years has been replaced with the first net migration outflow since the aftermath of the 2011... Read


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New Zealand’s population continues to evolve as changing working trends, affordability considerations, and people movements help shape local communities. Fewer births and deaths, a huge reversal in net international migration, and sustained net internal migration trends all contributed to the changing population around New Zealand. As our analysis shows, these trends are driving stronger population growth in provincial centres around New Zealand, as urban centres feel the loss of overseas migration. Read


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Migration patterns around the world have been upended due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with border restrictions, COVID-19 outbreaks, and different economic performances changing where people move to and from. New Zealand’s migration patterns haven’t escaped this upheaval, with net migration collapsing since the pandemic emerged. But with the world starting to reopen, what might be in store for Kiwis both here in New Zealand and overseas? Far from being a brain gain, New Zealand might face a brain drain of current talent. Read


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The need to understand our changing population has been more important than ever, as an unexpected wave of migration rendered previous projections obsolete. This article explores how this migration wave changed our population, and our view of the future. Read


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There’s been considerable talk in 2020 about people moving around the country as COVID-19 changes how people live, work, and play. We’ve never had complete and official data on how Kiwis are shifting across New Zealand, but Stats NZ has recently included some net internal migration data which provides a first cut of Kiwis mobility. Read


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Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, migration movements have presented themselves as a puzzling aspect of New Zealand’s economic path forward. Migration has many effects on both the labour market and the wider economy, and will remain a key, but rapidly changing, factor moving ahead, so it’s worth paying attention to. Read


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Infometrics’ latest forecasts suggest there is little reason to be feeling more upbeat about New Zealand’s economic prospects, despite some improvement in confidence surveys over the last few months. The company expects growth to regain some momentum over the next year, but it believes nothing has changed to help the economy avoid mediocre results beyond 2021. Read


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Local councils are once again putting their thoughts towards their Long Term (10-year) Plans which need to be completed next year. Fundamental to their plans are reliable metrics on the size of their current and future population. Read


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Households could go into their shells over the next year as economic conditions worsen, with little to support spending growth in the near-term, according to Infometrics’ latest economic forecasts. The stagnating labour market and the potential for house prices to fall both threaten to drag consumer confidence further below its long-term average. Read