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Weekly commentary

Te Mata Peak - May 2024

A deteriorating economic climate continues to make life difficult for regional economies, according to Infometrics’ latest monitoring of regional economies. The March 2024 Infometrics Quarterly Economic Monitor suggests that economic activity in the first three months of 2024 was 0.3%pa higher than ... Read


Local council rates bill 2023

Principal Economist, Brad Olsen, examines rising local government costs. With expectations that rates rises in 2024 will be the largest since local council reforms in 1989... Read


Te Kuiti

We are excited to launch an expansion of our Quarterly Economic Monitor (QEM) to provide a broader perspective on the prosperity of New Zealand’s communities. In this article, we introduce and explore the 13 new indicators which reflect economic, labour, social, and housing outcomes at a local level. Read


A blue neon sign on a black wall

Wholesale interest rates fell sharply last week, with the two-year swap rate falling 29 basis points on 14 December. Rates are now sitting at a nine-month low, adding downward pressure to retail interest rates. Lower mortgage rates could potentially stimulate economic activity when the battle agains... Read


Port of Tauranga from the sky

The outlook for the primary sector remains worse for the year ahead, driven by several factors including higher costs, lower global demand, and weather influences. Read


Almost everyone we talk to in the construction industry at the moment wants to know how the residential build rate, or the number of completions, compares to new dwelling consent numbers. The heightened interest is understandable: no one believes that we’ve been building new homes at the same rate as we’ve been consenting them. Although the consent total peaked at 51,015pa in May last year, most industry players believe the build rate will only have got up to somewhere between 35,000 and 42,000pa, because the industry doesn’t have the capacity to deliver a greater volume of new homes. Read


Black and Gray Laptop Computer Turned on Doing Computer Codes

The Monthly Employment Indicators published by Stats NZ are a valuable addition to the suite of employment measures in New Zealand. This article outlines how Infometrics is utilising this valuable data source to enhance our regional products. Read


Record high net migration over the past year has been a lifeboat for New Zealand’s economic growth, dominating recent trends in employment, housing demand, and demography. Quarterly net migration is now beginning to soften from its early 2023 peak as migrant arrivals grow slower, and departures from New Zealand accelerate. Read


Sheep in Auckland 2022

New Zealand’s economy looks to have expanded further in the September 2023 quarter, although momentum has slowed as various economic pressures hit. Continued jobs and population growth have supported growth, but high inflation and higher interest rates have moderated the strength seen in the economy. Rising pressures on the primary sector are also beginning to hit provincial economies. Read


Auckland-Britomart-2022-People-Walking

Infometrics has recently added a new section to our Regional Economic Profile which explores the Pacific Peoples population and their role in regional labour markets. This article outlines the growing significance of New Zealand’s Pacific Peoples population in the context of broader demographic shifts. Read